By Jason McIntyre
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
Final yr, we ranked each NFL crew’s Tremendous Bowl odds from 1-32, and the outcomes had been extraordinarily encouraging.
The Rams had been ranked fourth, they usually ended up profitable the Tremendous Bowl. The 49ers had been first, they usually reached the NFC title sport. The fifth-ranked Chiefs additionally obtained to their convention sport.
The largest whiff, although, ended up being the Bengals. Sure, we stated they might be an improved crew, however that was the understatement of the season. Their Tremendous Bowl odds earlier than the season had been +10000, and we ranked them thirtieth. A crew that made all of it the way in which to Huge Recreation was nearly on the backside of our listing. Ouch. However I am all about transparency, although, so it is at all times necessary to have a look at the great and the unhealthy.
Final observe, it is necessary to do not forget that the quantity issues when trying on the listing under, so take that under consideration when studying via these.
With a brand new season approaching, it is a new alternative to hit the mark on crew rankings. So let's run it again!
Listed here are each crew's Tremendous Bowl odds and my rankings for which crew goes to win all of it, from worst to greatest (odds through FOX Wager).
32. Houston Texans: +22500 (guess $10 to win $2,260 whole)
Unofficially, you have got a greater probability of profitable the lottery than the Texans have of profitable the Tremendous Bowl.
31. Atlanta Falcons: +17500 (guess $10 to win $1,760 whole)
A a lot better guess is perhaps what number of video games Marcus Mariota begins. Since shedding his job in the midst of 2019 in Tennessee, he hasn’t began an NFL sport. Both approach, the Falcons usually are not profitable the Tremendous Bowl.
30. Chicago Bears: +10000 (guess $10 to win $1,010 whole)
Justin Fields is simple to cheer for, nevertheless it’s very clear the Bears are rebooting the crew. They’re not precisely punting on 2022, however the brand new common supervisor (Ryan Poles) and coach (Matt Eberflus) know the roster isn’t constructed to win now. In the event that they sniff .500, it will be a minor miracle.
29. Seattle Seahawks: +9000 (guess $10 to win $910 whole)
When your quarterback showdown is between Drew Lock and Geno Smith, you understand you’re enjoying with a watch to the 2023 NFL Draft and maybe the No. 1 choose. Even in case you discuss your self into believing the Seahawks might be OK, you need to keep in mind they play in a loaded NFC West and in opposition to the robust AFC West.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers: +7500 (guess $10 to win $760 whole)
They’re in terrific form all over the place however quarterback, which issues essentially the most. It’ll be attention-grabbing to see what Mike Tomlin does at QB if the season spirals uncontrolled by the Steelers' bye week (Week 9). The schedule can be robust as 5 of their first eight opponents made the playoffs final yr, and the Jets and Dolphins are anticipated to be a lot better squads.
27. Detroit Lions: +10000 (guess $10 to win $1,010 whole)
I talked myself into the Lions two years in the past and vowed to by no means do it once more. But it surely’s robust to not love the offensive line and a few rising weapons. However there are simply too many "ifs" across the protection and quarterback Jared Goff.
26. Washington Commanders: +6600 (guess $10 to win $670 whole)
If you happen to’re a Carson Wentz believer, you are in all probability the final one on earth. Nevertheless, even with Wentz at quarterback, you would possibly have the ability to see a playoff crew within the Commanders in case you squint actually laborious. Hell, in 2020, they made the playoffs with a 7-9 file and Taylor Heinicke on the helm! Washington's absolute best-case situation is one through which they one way or the other win the division. However the crew remains to be a great distance away from profitable all of it.
25. Carolina Panthers: +10000 (guess $10 to win $1,010 whole)
I’ll be trying on the Panthers' odds to complete with a profitable file and possibly to win the NFC South. A wholesome Christian McCaffrey takes this offense from one of many worst within the NFL to league-average. However we nonetheless must see what occurs at quarterback. Can Baker Mayfield revive his profession and lead this crew to the playoffs?
24. Tennessee Titans: +3000 (guess $10 to win $310 whole)
All Derrick Henry and Ryan Tannehill have executed the previous few years is confirmed me incorrect within the common season, however that streak has to finish this yr. With Henry coming off an harm, AJ Brown now in Philadelphia and Tannehill trying over his shoulder at rookie Malik Willis, I count on the Titans to crater round Thanksgiving weekend.
23. Cleveland Browns: +2500 (guess $10 to win $260 whole)
The Browns might vault into the highest seven in the event that they’re in a position to land Jimmy Garoppolo to carry down the fort till the Deshaun Watson suspension is full. Powerful to place a real worth on their odds with a lot QB uncertainty proper now. In fact, if Watson is not suspended or solely serves round 4 video games, Cleveland would transfer up the listing.
22. New York Jets: +12500 (guess $10 to win $1,260 whole)
Sure, optimism reigns, however that’s the one approach to go while you’re 6-27 the previous two seasons. There’s a world the place the offense thrives – Zach Wilson makes the sophomore soar and the protection is radically improved. As a Jets fan, I do discover it wild that bettors are wagering on Wilson to win MVP and the crew to win the Tremendous Bowl.
21. Miami Dolphins: +3500 (guess $10 to win $360 whole)
The offensive items are in place, however the greatest query isn’t Tua Tagovailoa, it is new head coach Mike McDaniel. Can he construction the offense to play to Tua’s strengths, no matter these are? And can Tyreek Hill maintain his cool if Tua struggles?
20. Las Vegas Raiders: +4000 (guess $10 to win $410 whole)
Ridiculously stacked on offense, and the protection added Chandler Jones, so their baseline is the playoffs. The early schedule is unforgiving, they usually shut out with 5 robust opponents. Make or break yr for Derek Carr, let's examine if he can ship.
19. New York Giants: +10000 (guess $10 to win $1,010 whole)
If you wish to be eternally optimistic, this is a situation to think about: Brian Daboll fixes Daniel Jones the way in which he fastened Josh Allen, the ability place gamers keep wholesome, and the Giants steal the NFC East and sneak into the playoffs. You'll be able to learn extra right here to see why I am excessive on the Giants this yr.
18. New England Patriots: +3500 (guess $10 to win $360 whole)
Everybody is happy for Mac Jones in yr two, however I’d wish to warn everybody to pump the brakes. The Patriots blew out plenty of unhealthy groups final season and defeated simply two playoff groups — Buffalo within the loopy wind sport when Jones tried three passes and the Titans, who had been with out Henry. You'll be able to by no means rely out Invoice Belichick, however I am not as excessive on them as others are.
17. Cincinnati Bengals: +2000 (guess $10 to win $210 whole)
I envision some regression from Cincy this season, however extra importantly, its schedule is brutal. Bengals followers are in all probability shaking their heads anytime they take a look at the second half of their schedule. The robust opponents and loaded AFC will maintain them from one other journey to the Tremendous Bowl.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars: +10000 (guess $10 to win $1,010 whole)
Maybe greater than you’d count on, however when you think about how a lot they spent in free company and the change at head coach (Doug Pederson), there’s an argument that the Jags are angling for a wild-card spot if Trevor Lawrence performs on the degree everybody expects.
15. San Francisco 49ers: +1600 (guess $10 to win $170 whole)
Inserting quarterback Trey Lance, who threw 71 NFL passes as a rookie after sitting out his 2020 faculty season, goes to be dangerous. Particularly after the 49ers had been one dropped interception away from the Tremendous Bowl. Looks like a increase or bust yr in SF.
14. Dallas Cowboys: +1800 (guess $10 to win $190 whole)
Regression is coming except you assume they’ll lead the league in turnover margin once more. Dropping Amari Cooper on the skin might be felt greater than the specialists assume. The crew's destiny lies with Dak Prescott. Will he ship?
13. Arizona Cardinals: +3500 (guess $10 to win $360 whole)
The schedule is rugged, DeAndre Hopkins' six-game suspension stings and Kyler Murray doesn’t have a playoff win but. The Playing cards would wish to catch some huge breaks to win the title.
12. Los Angeles Rams: +1100 (guess $10 to win $120 whole)
The defending Tremendous Bowl champs had some modifications on the offensive line and swapped WR Allen Robinson for Odell Beckham. They're nonetheless loaded, however there might be a gentle Tremendous Bowl hangover as solely the Patriots have repeated prior to now 20 years (2003, 2004).
11. New Orleans Saints: +3500 (guess $10 to win $360 whole)
Saints are additionally within the increase or bust class. However, given how good Jameis Winston seemed early final season and the return of Michael Thomas from harm, they will shock some individuals. Final yr, they had been poor at receiver. Now they function Thomas, Jarvis Landry and Chris Olave. There’s rather a lot to love about this crew as a sleeper within the NFC, however can new head coach Dennis Allen make them the Tremendous Bowl?
10. Indianapolis Colts: +2200 (guess $10 to win $230 whole)
Given the weak AFC South, there’s a case the Colts snag the No. 1 seed with the first-round bye and home-field benefit. That may put them within the quick lane for a deep run.
9. Philadelphia Eagles: +2800 (guess $10 to win $290 whole)
Glass half full: They’ll trip the stout protection and floor sport so far as it’ll take them. Glass half empty: They solely made the playoffs due to a mushy December schedule, they usually’ll want Gardner Minshew’s arm to get to the Tremendous Bowl if Jalen Hurts cannot produce.
8. Tampa Bay Bucs: +800 (guess $10 to win $90 whole)
For the reason that Bucs have a troublesome schedule, will probably be higher to purchase them after their sluggish begin. This might be a really down yr for the NFC, so search for Tom Brady & Co. to peak by December.
7. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs: +900 (guess $10 to win $100 whole)
The Chiefs are within the hardest division in soccer, they misplaced their game-breaking offensive weapon (Hill) and tight finish Travis Kelce turns 33 in October. There’s not plenty of room for error. Patrick Mahomes will should be nice.
6. Denver Broncos: +1800 (guess $10 to win $190 whole)
The Russell Wilson-led Broncos can be greater on this listing in the event that they did not must compete within the hardest division within the NFL and if there wasn't a lot uncertainty round new coach Nathaniel Hackett.
5. Baltimore Ravens: +2000 (guess $10 to win $210 whole)
Earlier than Lamar Jackson went down, the Ravens had been the highest seed within the AFC regardless of having accidents everywhere in the roster. Merely put, if Lamar stays wholesome, the Ravens have an opportunity to go all the way in which.
4. Los Angeles Chargers: +1200 (guess $10 to win $130 whole)
I've been irrationally excessive on the Chargers since they crushed free company and the NFL Draft. It is fairly a leap to go from 9-8 and lacking the playoffs on the ultimate play of the common season to profitable the Tremendous Bowl. However keep in mind how shut the Bengals obtained to pulling that off final yr. Justin Herbert is the true deal.
3. Buffalo Payments: +650 (guess $10 to win $75 whole)
The Payments are Tremendous Bowl favorites at FOX Wager for a motive, with no discernible weak spot on the roster. Sure, there's delicate concern about shedding offensive coordinator Brian Daboll — the coach who famously turned Allen into an MVP candidate. The one motive Buffalo is not No. 1 on my listing is that the AFC is deeper than the Mariana Trench.
2. Minnesota Vikings: +4000 (guess $10 to win $410 whole)
Name me loopy, however at +4000, Minnesota presents some nice worth. Offensive-minded coach Kevin O’Connell is an improve and the Vikings will outscore plenty of groups. Unsure the protection can get the wanted stops in January, however this quantity is just too good to move up.
1. Inexperienced Bay Packers: +1000 (guess $10 to win $110 whole)
Again-to-back devastating season-ending playoff losses as the favourite, plus buying and selling away Davante Adams. That is sufficient to scare bettors from backing Aaron Rodgers this season. However good luck discovering a greater roster within the NFC, particularly within the loaded secondary. This crew has all of it, from expertise and a stable head coach to an important quarterback and stability on each side of the soccer. Except AR will get damage, search for the Packers to get to the title sport.
Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports activities betting analyst, and he additionally writes in regards to the NFL and NBA Draft. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on each present on the community. In 2017, McIntyre started producing playing content material on the NFL, faculty soccer and NBA for FOX Sports activities. He had a playing podcast for FOX, "Coming Up Winners," in 2018 and 2019. Earlier than arriving at FOX, he created the web site The Huge Lead, which he bought in 2010.
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