Patrick Everson
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
NFL Week 14 odds embody a handful of noteworthy video games because the playoff chase will get a bit extra attention-grabbing. Nevertheless, there's one recreation that doesn't match this criterion in any respect however has a newsworthy notice to it.
The Dallas Cowboys are 16.5-point house favorites in opposition to the in-state "rival" Houston Texans. It’s the biggest level unfold of the NFL season.
We’ll contact on that and much more NFL Week 14 nuggets, in addition to the continuation of the Military-Navy rivalry on the school soccer Week 15 odds board.
Laying a Huge Quantity
Final week, the Cowboys put up a 50-plus burger on the Indianapolis Colts in a prime-time matchup on Sunday Night time Soccer. In order that’s going to make an impression on public/leisure bettors as they usually are likely to guess based mostly on what they noticed final.
What they noticed final out of Dallas was a five-touchdown fourth quarter that turned a 21-19 lead right into a 54-19 sandblasting. The Cowboys have been consensus 11.5-point house favorites in opposition to an Indy staff that’s now 4-8-1 straight up (SU) and 5-8 in opposition to the unfold (ATS).
In the meantime, the Texans have only one win all season (1-10-1 SU, 4-7-1 ATS). So it stands to motive that the Cowboys, at 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS, are laying a giant quantity for this 1 p.m. ET Sunday kick on FOX.
"If you find yourself coping with spreads like that in an NFL recreation, it’s very uncommon that anybody sharp is laying the favourite," PlayUp US head of threat Rex Beyers mentioned. "It could be ‘canine or nothing for these guys, even when they've to carry their nostril when hitting the ‘submit’ button."
Certainly. So do yourselves a favor, of us: Don’t guess this recreation on the unfold. Possibly guess on the full-game or first-half whole, or discover a prop guess that you just suppose has some worth.
Lions Favored?
Yeah, this one surprises plenty of informal observers: The Minnesota Vikings, with the league’s second-best file at 10-2 SU (6-5-1 ATS), are 2.5-point street underdogs to Detroit, which is simply 5-7 SU, however a strong 8-4 ATS.
The Lions are literally fairly scorching of late, going 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS of their final 5 video games. And oddsmakers nonetheless do not consider in Kirk Cousins & Co. This contest is one other 1 p.m. ET Sunday FOX recreation.
"The Lions-Vikings matchup is our most-bet recreation. We opened Vikes -1.5 and are at the moment at Lions -2.5," WynnBet dealer Andy Morrissey mentioned Wednesday night time. "We'll want the Vikings in that one, because it stands."
The Sharp Facet
Beyers mentioned PlayUp noticed a little bit of a midweek push from skilled bettors on a few video games.
"The sharpies obtained despatched out on a number of orders earlier this afternoon," Beyers mentioned Wednesday night time. "They triple-popped me in Colorado on Raiders-Rams Beneath 44.5 (-112) for Thursday Night time Soccer. And a revered participant in Colorado, who has been dropping, however I nonetheless transfer off his [action], gave us an honest pop on Giants +7."
So Beyers now has the Raiders-Rams whole at 43, and the Philadelphia Eagles at -6.5 in opposition to host New York, in a 1 p.m. ET Sunday FOX recreation.
"And the identical group that guess Raiders-Rams Beneath additionally guess Eagles-Giants Over 44.5 and Dolphins-Chargers Beneath 52.5 (-112) for restrict performs, as nicely," Beyers mentioned.
WynnBet additionally famous the Eagles-Giants conflict as one drawing plenty of early consideration, although on the unfold, not the entire.
"We've nice two-way deal with. We’ve been toeing the road from [Eagles] -6.5 and -7," Morrissey mentioned. "We've revered gamers on either side of this one, with Eagles -6.5 and Giants +7 bets."
On our facet of the counter, a pointy bettor I join with every week has just one recreation piquing his curiosity up to now: The aforementioned Vikings-Lions tilt.
"I performed Detroit at choose ‘em. The staff is loaded on offense, with weapons throughout," he mentioned. "Minnesota’s protection is shaky and must be uncovered. At present, it’s the one recreation I actually like."
Navy Matchup
With the remainder of the Soccer Bowl Subdivision both completed with the season or awaiting bowl video games, the Military-Navy recreation will get the massive Saturday highlight. It’s a neutral-site contest at Philadelphia’s Lincoln Monetary Discipline.
Navy (4-7 SU, 7-4 ATS) hasn’t performed since upsetting Central Florida 17-14 on Nov. 19, with the Midshipmen closing as 15.5-point street underdogs. Military (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) has gotten a considerable break, too, routing UMass 44-7 as a 20.5-point street favourite on Nov. 26.
By midweek, it’s clear bettors have an opinion on this recreation, a minimum of at WynnBet.
"Military-Navy has been fairly one-sided on Navy and, naturally, the Beneath," Morrissey mentioned, alluding to a whopping 16-0 Beneath run within the final 16 Military-Navy clashes. "We might be rooting for factors and Military because it at the moment stands."
WynnBet opened this recreation on Nov. 29 at Military -2 (-105). By Sunday, the Black Knights have been all the way down to -1, and on Tuesday, the road jumped the fence to Navy -1 on the best way to -1.5. As of late Wednesday night time, the Midshipmen are as much as -2.5.
WynnBet opened the entire at 33.5 and initially ticked as much as 34, however it’s been at 32.5 since Tuesday afternoon.
Extra NFL Nuggets
Let’s velocity you thru a pair extra matchups on the Week 14 NFL odds board, from WynnBet:
- "We opened the 49ers -3.5 and it obtained guess as much as -4. A few of our most revered gamers instantly guess the Bucs +4, so we'll want the 49ers by 5 or extra there," Morrissey mentioned.
- "It has been all Raiders bets for Thursday. We opened -5.5 and are at the moment -6.5," Morrissey mentioned of Las Vegas approaching a landing favourite in opposition to the host L.A. Rams. "We've fairly huge legal responsibility on this one in comparison with different Thursday night time video games at this level."
Tom Brady returns house to Bay Space as 49ers host Bucs in Week 14
Skip Bayless and Shannon Sharpe discuss Brady, Bucs vs. 49ers in Week 14.
I Like Huge Bets and I Can't Lie
There hasn’t been a lot #MajorWager exercise reported this week. Nonetheless, within the NFL Week 13 Monday Night time Soccer contest, a few Caesars Sports activities clients did all proper for themselves:
- $110,000 on Saints +3.5
- $55,000 on Saints +3.5
Tampa Bay trailed 16-3 within the fourth quarter however scored a landing with three minutes left and one other within the ultimate seconds to squeak out a 17-16 victory. Fortunately, the bettors had the Saints on the unfold as an alternative of the moneyline. The $110,000 play led to a $100,000 win, whereas the $55,000 guess was a $50,000 win.
We definitely get pleasure from it when bettors of bankrolls massive and small get a win over the bookmakers. Right here’s hoping you money a ticket or two on this weekend’s matchups.
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He's a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting area. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Observe him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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Publish date: 2022-12-08 22:55:56
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