NFL odds Week 10: Tom Brady wonderful abroad, plus biggest betting developments

Published:Mar 9, 202417:46
NFL odds Week 10: Tom Brady wonderful abroad, plus biggest betting developments

Week 10 of the NFL season is upon us, and FOX Sports activities actions Evaluation is true right here to take care of offering you with the sides needed to make a income! 

Closing week’s piece highlighted diverse winners that we foresaw. For starters, underdogs continued to dominate, going 7-3 in direction of the unfold (ATS) (70%) and 4-6 straight up (SU) (40%). Furthermore, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens improved their file in prime-time video video games to 10-6 ATS (62.5%) and 12-4 SU (75%) with a convincing 27-13 victory over the New Orleans Saints. And finally, the New England Patriots dominated the Indianapolis Colts in a 26-3 win, enhancing their file to 11-7-1 ATS (61.1%) and 13-6 SU (68.4%) in direction of Indianapolis under Bill Belichick.

As on a regular basis, we did a deep dive into historic widespread season info to find out the perfect developments for the upcoming week. We moreover checked out team- and player-specific developments, which ought to help inform you on who to wager on this week.  

Let's bounce in and have some pleasurable!

Brady is good in worldwide video video games; favorites have moreover dominated historically

There have been 43 widespread season worldwide video video games carried out all through Mexico, Canada and England as a result of the 2005 season, in line with our database. Tom Brady has carried out in three of those matchups, going a really perfect 3-0 ATS and SU. Two of those video video games occurred in London, with the alternative occurring in Mexico Metropolis. This shall be his first time having fun with in a world sport as a member of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, collectively along with his first three conditions coming with the New England Patriots. Nonetheless, Brady was a favorite in all three of those video video games and is presently a three-point favorite at FOX Wager in direction of the Seattle Seahawks in Sunday’s matchup in Munich. 

Throughout the 43 worldwide video video games which have taken place, favorites went a whopping 25-17-1 ATS (59.5%) and 30-12-1 SU (71.4%). Furthermore, Brady and the Buccaneers have misplaced two straight video video games, every ATS and SU, away from Raymond James Stadium. He hasn’t misplaced three straight video video games ATS and SU away from residence since doing so in 2015-16.   

Eagles should cowl in direction of Commanders

The Philadelphia Eagles are nonetheless the one undefeated workforce inside the league after a 12-point victory over the Houston Texans last Thursday. Whereas they didn’t cowl the 14-point unfold, we like them to cowl this week in direction of the Washington Commanders

Philly is 7-3-1 ATS (70%) and 9-2 SU (81.8%) in direction of Washington since 2017, along with a 24-8 win in Week 3 of this season. The Birds have moreover dominated in Monday evening time video video games, going 9-5 ATS (64.3%) and 10-4 SU (71.4%) in these matchups since 2013. Conversely, Washington has struggled on Monday evening time, going 3-11 ATS (21.4%) and SU in that exact same span.

It additionally must be well-known that the Eagles have Jalen Hurts under center, who's inside the excessive three for MVP odds all through most sportsbooks, along with at FOX Wager. As a favorite, Hurts is 8-6-1 ATS (57.1%) and 13-2 SU (86.7%) when starting. 

FOX Wager presently has Philadelphia as a ten.5-point favorite; as nine- to 12-point favorites, they're 5-5-1 ATS (50%) and 10-1 SU (90.9%) since 2012.

Funds should cowl in direction of Vikings… IF Josh Allen performs!

We talked about Jalen Hurts as an MVP front-runner, and Josh Allen could also be very quite a bit inside the mix as properly. Nonetheless, the Buffalo Funds signal-caller is dealing with an elbow harm which has put his standing for Sunday’s matchup in direction of the Minnesota Vikings in question. 

Consistent with FOX Wager, Minnesota enters the matchup as 3.5-point underdogs no matter boasting a 7-1 file this season. That line was initially at seven sooner than the revelation of Allen’s harm. Should he play, the data beneath elements in route of the Funds overlaying:

  • Funds are 17-10-3 ATS (63%) and 25-5 SU (83.3%) as a home favorite under Sean McDermott, with Josh Allen under center for 25 of those 30 video video games (83.3%)
  • Funds are 11-7-1 ATS (61.1%) and 14-5 SU (73.7%) when a two- to four-point favorite under Sean McDermott, with Josh Allen being the starter for 14 of those 19 video video games (73.7%)
  • Funds are 14-7-2 ATS (66.7%) and 16-7 SU (69.6%) when coming off one loss under Sean McDermott; Josh Allen was the start quarterback for 17 of those 23 video video games (73.9%)

It moreover doesn’t harm that the Vikings have struggled as freeway underdogs, going 8-12-1 ATS (40%) and 5-16 SU (23.8%) in such circumstances since 2018. Nonetheless, should Allen not swimsuit up for Buffalo, it could be worth a wager on the Vikings moneyline. The Funds have not started a backup since 2018 after they started Derek Anderson, Nathan Peterman and Matt Barkley. Over the previous 10 years, Buffalo is 5-10 ATS (33.3%) and 4-11 SU (26.7%) after they start a backup quarterback. Furthermore, teams that enter a sport as an underdog with a 7-1 SU (87.5%) file are 14-8-1 ATS (63.6%) and 11-12 SU (47.8%) since 1968.

McVay owns Cardinals, nevertheless Kingsbury dominates as a freeway underdog 

This matchup grew to develop into far more fascinating as quickly because it broke that Matthew Stafford was in concussion protocol. Sean McVay has been virtually wonderful in direction of the Arizona Cardinals in his tenure as a result of the Los Angeles Rams head coach, going 10-1 ATS (90.9%) and SU in direction of them since his first season on the helm. Nonetheless, 10 of those 11 video video games had each Stafford or Jared Goff under center. John Wolford did start in that lone completely different sport, overlaying and profitable as a one-point favorite in Week 17 of the 2020 season. 

Then once more, Kliff Kingsbury has been historically dominant as a freeway underdog. The Cardinals head coach is 15-5-1 ATS (75%) and 13-8 SU (61.9%) in such circumstances for his career, with the Beneath hitting in 12 of those 21 video video games (57.1%). Kyler Murray was under center in 19 of those matchups, going 13-5-1 ATS (72.2%) and 11-8 SU (57.9%).   

Within the occasion you’re excited by inserting a wager on each side, FOX Wager initially had Los Angeles as 3-point favorites nevertheless the road has since shifted to the Rams as 1.5-point favorites. 

Historic info elements in route of Falcons overlaying in direction of Panthers

Over the previous 20 seasons, 33 teams have fired their coach by means of the widespread season, with the Carolina Panthers most not too way back releasing Matt Rhule earlier this 12 months. The Indianapolis Colts fired Frank Reich earlier this week and might now be the thirty fourth workforce on this itemizing. Throughout the week following the firing of their head coach, teams have gone 15-18 SU (45.5%) and 17-16 ATS (51.5%). Whereas these numbers would possibly sound unappealing, there are only a few completely different developments that point in route of betting in direction of the Panthers this week.

First, Carolina is 1-30 ATS (3.2%) and 6-25 SU (19.4%) after they permit merely 17-plus elements since 2020. Furthermore, they're coming off a 42-21 loss in direction of the Cincinnati Bengals last week. Teams which have given up 40-plus elements of their earlier sport are 3-15 ATS (16.7%) and 2-13 SU (13.3%) over the last 20 seasons. The Panthers are a dismal 5-18 ATS (21.7%) over their last 23 video video games and have moreover devoted to sticking with PJ Walker at quarterback. Since 2019, Carolina is 5-11 ATS (31.3%) and 3-13 SU (18.8%) when starting a backup quarterback.

FOX Wager presently has the Atlanta Falcons as three-point favorites inside the Thursday evening time matchup. They're presently tied on the excessive of the NFC South with Tampa Bay and are already just one win shy of surpassing their preseason win full of 4.5. The Falcons even have in all probability the best cowl expenses inside the league this season at 6-3 ATS (66.7%).  

Cowboys should cowl in direction of Packers

The Dallas Cowboys are tied for the perfect cowl cost inside the league at 6-2 ATS (75%) and deal with the struggling Inexperienced Bay Packers at Lambeau Space this Sunday. Aaron Rodgers has infrequently been a home underdog, going 5-1 ATS (83.3%) inside the six widespread matchups the place it’s occurred. The seventh event will occur this week, as FOX Wager has the Packers as five-point underdogs. Whereas Rodgers’ 18-9 ATS (66.7%) file at residence since 2019 is the perfect of any starting quarterback in that span, diverse developments degree in route of betting on the Cowboys.

First, Dallas is 8-6 ATS (57.1%) and 10-4 SU (71.4%) in direction of NFC North opponents since 2016, with the Over hitting in 11 of those video video games (78.6%). Mike McCarthy’s bunch will also be coming off a bye, a state of affairs throughout which he has thrived. In his head instructing career, McCarthy is 12-3-1 ATS (80%) and 11-5 SU (68.8%) when coming off a bye. The Cowboys are moreover 6-4 ATS (60%) and 7-3 SU (70%) off a bye since 2013, with the Over hitting in all 10 of those video video games! Dak Prescott moreover covers as a starter when he’s a freeway favorite, going 15-8-1 ATS (65.2%) and 17-7 SU (70.8%) in his career.

So are you ready to place some NFL Week 10 bets? Head over to FOX Wager now for your whole wagers! 

Download the FOX Large 6 app in your likelihood to win tons of of {{dollars}} on a very powerful sporting events every week! Merely make your picks and you could win the grand prize. Download and play proper now!  

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Publish date: 2022-11-12 01:12:23
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