NFL odds: Over/beneath win whole bets for each staff within the AFC South

Published:Mar 9, 202415:59
NFL odds: Over/beneath win whole bets for each staff within the AFC South

Nothing says soccer is again just like the official launch of subsequent season's schedule! 

And now that we all know the dates of all of the NFL common season matchups for 2022, FOX Guess has launched its win totals for each staff. People, not solely do now we have ourselves an entire schedule to get enthusiastic about, however at FOX Guess, now you can wager on the win totals, too.

Our knowledgeable betting analysts — Geoff Schwartz, Sam Panayotovich and Jason McIntyre — analyzed this yr's slate and weighed in on how gamblers ought to wager on the win totals for every staff in each division!

Let us take a look at the AFC South.

Final season, the Titans had been the one staff within the division to make the playoffs. However after clinching the AFC South and a first-round bye, Tennessee with Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry did not have sufficient to get previous the Bengals within the divisional spherical. With the next-best document had been the Colts — a staff that just lately traded for quarterback Matt Ryan with the hopes of scratching the postseason in 2022. Then on the backside of the division are the Texans and the Jaguars, two squads whose QB and head coach woes from final yr might very nicely make it troublesome for them to breach .500 subsequent season.

Listed below are our consultants' picks, with all odds courtesy of FOX Guess.

9.5 wins for Tennessee Titans at FOX Guess

Geoff's Decide — Below: -118 at FOX Guess (wager $10 to win $18.47 whole)

The beneath wager on the Titans' win whole goes to be fashionable this season after their failure within the playoffs final season because the 1-seed. Folks will level to a couple causes to doubt the Titans: the declining play of Ryan Tannehill because the Titans' offensive passing DVOA dropped from fourth in 2020 to twenty first in 2021, the lack of huge receiver A.J. Brown and an unsure offensive line. These are all legitimate considerations. However even taking one take a look at their outcomes from final season ought to have you ever leaning beneath right here. 

The Titans had been 6-1 within the common season in video games determined by three factors or fewer, a pattern that won't proceed this season. If that quantity drops again to 3 or 4, then the Titans are a nine-win staff. 

Final season, Tennessee beat three division winners in Kansas Metropolis, Buffalo and the Los Angeles Rams and a playoff staff in San Francisco. Nevertheless, the AFC South will likely be harder this season with QB Matt Ryan in Indianapolis and a reliable teaching workers in Jacksonville. 

Lastly, if the Titans begin sluggish, they might flip to newly-drafted quarterback Malik Willis to complete the season beneath middle which might contribute to going beneath 9.5 wins.

9.5 wins for Indianapolis Colts at FOX Guess

Sammy P's Decide — Over: -125 at FOX Guess (wager $10 to win $18 whole)  

The Indianapolis Colts completed 9-8 final season with forever-average quarterback Carson Wentz beginning all 17 video games. Wentz wanted to rally his teammates only one time within the remaining two weeks towards both Las Vegas or Jacksonville, however the Colts slipped on a banana peel with a highly-probable postseason bid on the road.

Wentz is Washington’s drawback now and Indy will roll into 2022 with Matt Ryan, who accomplished 67% of his passes on a horrendous Falcons staff with a bunch of milk-carton guys enjoying huge receiver. Bear in mind, Julio Jones was traded to Tennessee final summer season. In the meantime, Indianapolis has a playoff-ready roster and the Colts’ entrance workplace was more than pleased to accumulate Ryan and pair his expertise with a stable offensive line and working again Jonathan Taylor who led the league in dashing. 

The most important challenge for Indianapolis over the past handful of years? That annual September swoon. The Colts are 5-9 within the first month beneath Frank Reich — together with 0-3 final season — so one thing’s bought to provide there.

However Taylor’s presence ought to open up tons of throwing alternatives for the Colts in play-action and Ryan’s potential to finish a 20-yard go down the sector will make the offensive hum that rather more. Additions of Yannick Ngakoue and Stephon Gilmore on D will assist, too.

4.5 wins for Houston Texans at FOX Guess

Sammy P's Decide — Below: -110 at FOX Guess (wager $10 to win $19.09 whole)

How low are you prepared to go on the Houston Texans?

The Deshaun Watson period is over, Davis Mills is probably going the beginning quarterback and head coach Lovie Smith hasn’t posted a successful document at any degree since 2012 when his Chicago Bears completed 10-6.

FOX Guess is at the moment dealing the Texans’ win whole at over/beneath 4.5, and actually, there aren’t too many soccer video games wherein they’ll be favored this season. They had been favored as soon as final yr per Group Rankings and let’s be trustworthy, Indianapolis and Jacksonville each improved this previous offseason.

So the place do the wins come?

Even if you happen to pencil the Texans in for 2 sudden wins — which is a really beneficiant quantity for a foul staff — there aren’t any "surefire" victories on the schedule. Houston will host Indianapolis, Los Angeles (A), Tennessee, Philadelphia, Washington, Cleveland, Kansas Metropolis and Jacksonville. After which they get to play 9 video games on the freeway.

There’s no assure they’ll be favored in any respect, particularly contemplating the Commanders and Jaguars could possibly be very simply exceeding expectations by the point these video games roll round in late November and in early January. 

I applaud the Texans for including 4 or 5 opening week starters within the 2022 NFL Draft, however it is a soccer group in transition, and their state of affairs most likely will get worse earlier than it will get higher. There simply aren’t many avenues to immediate success. 

6.5 wins for Jacksonville Jaguars at FOX Guess

Jason's Decide — Over: +105 at FOX Guess (wager $10 to win $20.50 whole)

The Jaguars had been my worst name final season as a result of I believed the City Meyer-Trevor Lawrence union can be a harmful staff within the AFC South. 

It was not, as Meyer was gone earlier than Christmas. 

The Jags tried to re-tool within the offseason by bringing in new coach Doug Pederson and offensive weapons Evan Engram and Christian Kirk. Additionally they get again 2021 first-round decide Travis Etienne who missed all of final season. Pederson and people weapons ought to assist push this staff in the appropriate course this upcoming yr. Final season, Jacksonville's offense ranked twenty seventh in offensive effectivity, and subsequent season, it can undoubtedly be improved. 

The division isn’t robust, nonetheless, I actually query them taking Travon Walker first total. He’s the primary participant to go No. 1 total who wasn’t an All-American or first-team All-Convention participant in practically 50 years. That was a giant danger, so he higher hit.

The schedule is a combined bag. For instance, they journey to London to face Russell Wilson after which should face the Raiders after they return and not using a bye. 

However in Trevor Lawrence I belief. Give me the over.

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