When NFL quarterback Deshaun Watson was traded to the Browns from the Texans, bettors instantly noticed alternatives to throw money at Cleveland. In any case, Watson's arrival had a right away constructive impression on the crew's Tremendous Bowl odds.
The 2020 passing chief and three-time Professional Bowler clearly brings quite a lot of worth to a crew, therefore the large contract the Browns simply gave him. However how will all this upheaval for a quarterback who hasn't taken a snap within the league in additional than a 12 months ultimately pan out? And the way a lot is Watson truly price to the Browns from a playing perspective?
We talked to FOX Wager sports activities dealer Steven Hemke for extra perception.
"No NFL participant is price greater than six factors to any unfold usually," Hemke defined. "Even when Aaron Rodgers was out towards the Chiefs at Arrowhead, the Packers' unfold solely moved six factors or so.
"In a standard week dealing with an everyday opponent, Deshaun might be price round three and a half factors per recreation."
Talking of what number of factors the quarterback is price on a game-to-game foundation, if you happen to're desirous about betting on the Browns' season futures, it is also necessary to additionally know the way a lot Watson is price to the crew's win whole.
"Relying on the suspension, which is able to in all probability be someplace between 4 and 6 video games, Watson is price round two video games to the Browns' win whole," the oddsmaker defined. "They nonetheless have high quality backups with both Baker Mayfield or Jacoby Brissett to melt the time he misses. With Watson, I would put Cleveland's win whole at 9.5. With out him, 7.5 appears about proper primarily based on our projections."
Hemke defined that the uncertainty surrounding the quarterback's fast enjoying future together with his new crew has influenced how FOX Wager has set the strains for the AFC North division winner. At FOX Wager, Cleveland has the third-best odds (+225) behind the Bengals (+190) and the Ravens (+200). The Steelers have the longest odds to win the division at +900.
He additionally famous that "earlier than getting Watson, the Browns have been round 40-1 to win the Tremendous Bowl," however these odds shortened to 17-1 after Cleveland added the 2017 first-rounder.
Here is a fast have a look at a few of Watson's data towards the unfold.
The QB is 26-25-2 ATS (towards the unfold) and 28-25 SU (straight up) as a starter within the common season over his profession. One space the quarterback has excelled in is as an underdog within the common season. The signal-caller has gone 17-10 ATS in these spots, overlaying about 62% of these contests.
Watson did put up back-to-back double-digit win seasons in each 2018 and 2019, and that ceiling is what the Browns are hoping for as soon as he takes over as QB.
Being armed with this info will definitely be useful to bettors as they determine how a lot and the way typically they wish to put Cleveland on their wager slips subsequent season.
If you happen to're able to see what Brown can do for you — with or presumably with out Deshaun — head over to FOX Wager to throw some money on Cleveland!
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