FOX Sports activities Wagering Skilled
“Bear Bets” are actual wagers that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is definitely making.
Week 6 of the faculty soccer season is right here, and the slate options some nice wagering alternatives.
As for betting on school soccer each week, I’ll share my greatest bets and playing nuggets (Bear Bytes) with you all through the season on this house. So, if you’re seeking to throw a couple of bucks down on the large video games this week, I’ve acquired you lined.
On a facet observe, a brand new episode of my digital playing present and podcast can be posted each Thursday. The school football-focused episodes — offered by Massive Midday Kickoff — can be launched on Thursdays, with the NFL-themed episodes dropping on Fridays.
Let’s have some enjoyable and, hopefully, make some cash.
Listed below are my favourite wagers for Week 6.
Final Week: 4-3 (15-17-1 season)
All instances ET
UCLA vs. No. 13 Washington State (3 p.m. Saturday, Pac-12 Community)
Wazzu has all of the feels of a canine with fleas this week: undefeated and going to UCLA, whose offense might do nothing in Salt Lake two weeks in the past.
However keep in mind, it is a UCLA protection that leads the nation in opponent yards per play and will supply Cam Ward and the Cougar offense their stiffest take a look at. This can be a kind of “it isn’t an upset” upsets, because the unranked crew is favored over the ranked crew.
Within the UCLA protection, we belief.
PICK: UCLA (-3) to win by greater than 3 factors
Joel Klatt’s Prime 10 groups for Week 6
California vs. No. 15 Oregon State (10 p.m. Saturday, Pac-12 Community)
Cal’s report as an underdog below Justin Wilcox has been well-documented. Now, off a ho-hum win as a giant favourite over ASU, the Bears get Oregon State, which knocked off Utah final week. This appears like a pure letdown spot for the Beavers. It additionally appears like Wilcox’s protection may have a plan to confuse D.J. Uiagalelei, who has thrown 4 interceptions within the final three weeks and has accomplished barely 50% of his passes in that span.
I am unsure Cal can in the end win outright, but it surely’s price part of a unit. However I do assume 9.5 is just too many factors.
PICK: Cal (+9.5) to lose by 9 factors or fewer (or win outright)
No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 20 Kentucky (7 p.m. Saturday, ESPN)
Georgia’s sluggish begins have been extensively mentioned, and in some unspecified time in the future, one would count on the Bulldogs to place 60 minutes collectively. This could possibly be the week as they host Kentucky, which is coming off a thumping of Florida however has scored 13, 0, 13, 3, 17 and 10 in its final six journeys to Athens.
I can see lots of people being on UK getting north of two touchdowns this week, and I’ll fortunately take the contrarian favourite.
PICK: Georgia (-14.5) to win by 15 factors or extra
Texas A&M vs. No. 11 Alabama (3:30 p.m. Saturday, CBS)
Alabama ranks 67th nationally this yr in yards per carry (4.09) vs. FBS groups. It now goes in opposition to the most effective defensive strains within the nation and a unit that enables simply 2.8 yards per sport and 96 rush yards per sport.
Jalen Milroe has been higher by means of the air the final two video games in opposition to the Mississippi faculties (27-for-33, 389 yards), however we additionally know these defenses are form of unhealthy. We noticed Texas management the road of scrimmage vs. the Tide, and it wasn’t a fluke. The Aggies current comparable issues, and even with out Conner Weigman, Max Johnson has loads of expertise to run this A&M offense.
It is a huge alternative for the Aggies, who many left for useless after the loss at Miami. A win right here opens up the whole lot for the Aggies — SEC West title and possibly extra. A loss, and the Aggie devoted are again to determining find out how to buyout Jimbo Fisher. I feel they’ll be completely happy in Aggieland come Saturday evening.
PICK: Texas A&M (+2.5) to lose by 2 factors or fewer (or win outright)
Will we see a university soccer playoff with out the SEC?
Marshall vs. North Carolina State (2 p.m. Saturday, CW Community)
I do not know what has occurred to Brennan Armstrong. The yr 2021 appears like so way back. Now, he’s been changed by MJ Morris in Raleigh in an effort to kick-start an offense that hasn’t scored greater than 24 vs. any FBS crew this yr and has been concerned in a pair of subject objective video games the final two weeks.
Marshall’s operating sport behind Rasheen Ali is stable, and the Herd has already overwhelmed a lower-echelon ACC crew this yr. It has a good chance to make it two.
PICK: Marshall (+6.5) to lose by 6 factors or fewer (or win outright)
Underdogs to play on moneyline
Iowa State +190
Texas A&M +125
Now it is time to have some enjoyable with my “Bear Bytes.”
These little “bytes,” as I name them, are simply nuggets that offer you some entertaining speaking factors to drag from as you watch the soccer festivities with family and friends or banter along with your co-workers on the water cooler.
Listed below are the largest nuggets that caught out to me whereas doing my analysis:
Since 2021, unranked favorites have received 14 of 19 conferences with ranked opponents. UCLA is a three-point favourite over Washington State on Saturday. Final yr, there have been two situations of an unranked crew being favored over a crew ranked thirteenth or higher, because the Cougars are right here. Texas beat No. 13 Ok-State 34-27, and Washington beat then-No. 11 Michigan State 39-28.
Oklahoma vs. Texas
Within the final eight conferences, there was only one upset: Texas’ 2018 win as a 7.5-point underdogs. The final time OU upset Texas was 2002, when it received 35-24 as a 4-point canine. That is the fifth time since 2002 that Texas is favored over Oklahoma.
Miami vs. Georgia Tech
The final thrice Miami has been a double-digit favourite over Georgia Tech has seen the Yellow Jackets pull off the outright win twice (2005, 2019) after which lose by three as a 10-point canine in 2021. Is that this a glance–forward spot for Miami with UNC up subsequent week?
In opposition to three Energy 5 opponents this season, Georgia Tech has allowed 250 rush YPG on 6.1 YPC.
LSU at Missouri
LSU has seen every of its final 9 and 12 of its final 13 video games go over the whole. Six of the 9 had a minimum of 65 factors scored, which is the present whole for Saturday’s sport.
Northern Illinois at Akron
Relationship again to final yr, Northern Illinois has misplaced eight straight video games wherein it was favored. NIU final received a sport as a favourite over an FBS crew in 2021.
Notre Dame at Louisville
Relationship again to 2021, Jeff Brohm has been a single-digit underdog 9 instances. His crew has received six of them outright.
On the flip facet, Notre Dame has received 17 straight true street video games wherein it was favored, courting again to a 2017 loss at Stanford. The Irish are in the midst of a four-game stretch in opposition to ranked opponents – the primary two video games have been determined within the ultimate seconds – and end the stretch subsequent week in opposition to No. 9 USC.
North Carolina at Syracuse
Relationship again to 2021, the final 9 instances UNC was favored by larger than seven factors in opposition to an FBS opponent, the Tar Heels misplaced 4 outright – all coming as a favourite of a minimum of 12 factors – and lined solely twice. Is that this a look-ahead spot for UNC, which has Miami subsequent week?
Kentucky at Georgia
Georgia has seen every of its final six and 11 of its final 14 common season video games vs. ranked opponents go below the whole. In these six video games, the Bulldogs have allowed 13, 3, 13, 10, 0 and three factors.
Every of the final 4 video games between UGA and UK have gone below, with a complete of 103 factors scored within the 4 video games. UGA didn’t cowl any of the 4, because the Bulldogs have been a minimum of a 17-point favourite in every sport.
Alabama at Texas A&M
If Alabama doesn’t shut as the favourite, it is going to be the primary time since 2015 that the Tide will not be favored in a daily season sport. That yr, Alabama was a one-point canine and received at Georgia 38-10. Previous to that, the final occasion of Alabama not being favored in a daily season sport was in 2008 when the Tide received 41-30 at Georgia. As of this writing, Alabama is a one-point favourite at Texas A&M.
Maryland at Ohio State
Since becoming a member of the Massive Ten, Maryland is 0-31 (6-25 ATS) vs. ranked Massive Ten opponents, shedding by a median of 30.3 PPG with 29 by a minimum of double digits and 22 by a minimum of 21 factors. Nonetheless, one of many two gamed determined by single digits was a 2018 52-51 loss to Ohio State in Faculty Park.
Chris “The Bear” Fallica has lined sports activities for practically three a long time. Whereas school soccer has been his focus, he additionally enjoys the NFL, Soccer, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and Horse Racing, with an “occasional” wager on such occasions. Chris just lately received the inaugural Circa Soccer Invitational and completed within the Prime 10 of the Golden Nugget Soccer Contest. He is a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicapping Championship. Bear in mind, “The much less you guess, the extra you lose if you win!” Observe him on Twitter @chrisfallica.
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Publish date: 2023-10-06 08:56:54
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